Alexander Mountain Fire, July 2024, Loveland Colorado. Imagine from Sentinel-2 Satellite. Posted by Tom Yulsman to Facebook. What is this document? This is a set of resources on wildfire and its relation to a warming climate. It includes writings of mine and [...]
Template for thinking about river floods and flooding trends. A flood is not just a lot of rain. What is this document? This document is in continous development. It should always stand on its on, and it will be updated. The [...]
Great Michigan Flood of 2026 In April of 2026 there was a historical flood in Michigan and Wisconsin affecting large portions of the states. This article in the Conversation was written as the floods were going on and describe the role of [...]
This is a set of plots to analyze the great floods in Michigan (and Wisconsin and Minnesota) in April of 2026. The analysis is in context of a warming climate. Since much of the news of 2026 was just how cold the [...]
Image: Forecast-based planning (left) uses predictions of a single future. Scenario-based climate change adaptation (right) works with a set of plausible futures that capture a broad range of conditions, providing a framework to support decisions under conditions that are uncertain and uncontrollable. [...]
Winter is Getting Warmer: Warming Winter Syndrome One of the most robust measures of Earth’s changing climate is that winter is warming more quickly than other seasons. The cascade of changes it brings, including ice storms and rain in regions that were [...]
Minimum Temperature, January 20, Washington, DC, Reagan National Airport For more on the January 2025 cold air outbreak see 2024 Cold Snap in the Eastern U.S. January 20, 2025 is Inauguration Day in Washington DC. The weather forecast was forecast to [...]
There is an enormous amount of observational and forecast data available. I always find it hard to find. Web interfaces are always changing. Some services let you customize plots. Others do not. Sometimes I find data, but can't figure out how to [...]
Image: Temperature outlook for the United States issued on January 1, 2025 by the Climate Prediction Center. I have an updated post Inauguration Day 2025: How Cold Is it? http://openclimate.org/inauguration-day-2025-how-cold-is-it/ The article That Arctic blast can feel brutally cold, but [...]
If the Earth is warming, why does it still get so cold? When winter comes in the northern hemisphere, the Sun goes down over the Arctic and the North Pole. That region cools. It might take a little longer to cool than [...]