Table of Contents This is a synthesis and explainer on the "8.5" scenarios used to explore future global warming. It is a document for the interested. Introduction "8.5" refers to Watts/meter^2 (W/m^2), the average projected change, in the [...]
Stories and Scenarios for a Warming Climate 20260222: This is an evolving, working document.. One of the best ways to think about our climate future is to think of stories that describe situations we are likely to face. Stories are natural to [...]
When Anomaly Correlations Are on Social Media. Update 20250626: This is an update on June 26, 2025. The previous posts are below. Please note all of this information is from public websites. I do my best to construct a robust story. At [...]
Starting in the mid-1990s I became involved in management and analysis of U.S. government efforts in climate and weather modeling. This became a unique aspect of my career, and here at the end of my career, I am still asked to be [...]
Summary This is a series of articles on models. In this series, I am trying to develop a way to build a foundation for non-scientists to feel comfortable about models and their use in scientific investigation. Doing Science with Models 1.7: I [...]
The Free Market and the Climate Model: This is a series of articles on models. In this series, I am trying to develop a way to build a foundation for non-scientists to feel comfortable about models and their use in scientific investigation. [...]
Looking Under the Cloak of Complexity: This is a series of articles on models. In this series, I am trying to develop a way to build a foundation for non-scientists to feel comfortable about models and their use in scientific investigation. Doing [...]
Point of View: This is a series of articles on models. In this series, I am trying to develop a way to build a foundation for non-scientists to feel comfortable about models and their use in scientific investigation. Doing Science with Models [...]
Balancing the Budget: This is a series of articles on models. In this series, I am trying to develop a way to build a foundation for non-scientists to feel comfortable about models and their use in scientific investigation. First, I want to [...]
My friends who are expert in education tell me that models, modeling, and the use of models are among the most difficult concepts to both grasp and teach. I wrote a series of blogs based on my class presentations to introduce modeling. [...]